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Alexander CastelloAC

Alexander Castello

Ph.D. Quantitative Researcher

€150/day
Genoa, IT
3-7 years

Average response time: 1 hour

About Alexander

Hi! I am a Ph.D. Quantitative Researcher specializing in advanced data modeling/forecasting, market analysis, and Generative AI for financial applications. With extensive academic and Postdoctoral experience focusing on Energy Markets, Emerging Economies (BRICS) Bond Markets, and Climate Transition Risks, I bring rigorous, publication-level analytical skills to your data challenges.

I work extensively with both Python and R to turn complex, unstructured data into robust statistical models and actionable financial insights.

My main areas of focus:

Quantitative Modeling: Building/investigating/implementing Stochastic, ML, and Hybrid models to analyze market trends and dynamics.

Advanced Forecasting & Analysis: Fitting and forecasting using parametric models (Nelson-Siegel based, ARIMA family, Splines) and advanced DL architectures (e.g., Transformers, NeuralProphet, GR-NN, Univariate/Multivariate and Stacked/Bidirectional LSTM-NN, Encoder-Decoder, NAR/NARX-NN).

Generative AI & Synthetic Data: Designing and testing models like GANs, VAEs, EBMs, and Transformers to augment financial datasets and improve pricing accuracy.

Derivatives & Risk Management: Evaluating swaps and designing novel derivative frameworks using Monte Carlo simulations, Historical Bootstrapping, and Deep Generative Machine Learning methods.

Economic & Sector Analysis: Forward-looking market dynamics analysis (e.g., RRGraphs, Shift-Share Analysis).

Research & Technical Writing: Preparing research articles, whitepapers, and technical reports based on advanced data analysis and extensive literature reviews.

Data Science & Management: End-to-end data pipelines, from raw dataset cleaning (e.g., public/institutional databases) to advanced visualization and reporting.

Whether you need to build a predictive model from scratch, validate a complex pricing framework, or generate synthetic data, I deliver accurate, scientifically sound, and well-documented code. Let's connect to discuss your project!
  • Italian

    Native or bilingual

  • English

    Fluent

  • Russian

    Native or bilingual

  • Ukrainian

    Native or bilingual

Can work on-site
Genoa (up to 50km)

Experience

  • Ca' Foscari University Venice
    Postdoctoral Research Fellow
    RESEARCH
    November 2024 - Today (1 year and 7 months)
    Venice, Italy
    I am involved in the EU-funded project “PRIN 2022 - PNRR - JET - Just Energy Transition: Stochastic and Machine Learning methods for the evaluation, mitigation and geographical hedging of involved natural risks (with climate in view)”. My research focuses on the design and pricing of a novel derivative-based framework aimed at managing risks associated with the transition to a climate-neutral society. While the initial stage of this work relied on traditional quantitative methodologies, including Monte Carlo simulations and Historical Bootstrap techniques, I am currently and actively advancing the project by testing and validating advanced Generative Machine Learning models (e.g. MLP-GAN, DC-GAN, β-VAE, A-VAE, SGHMC-EBM, S-EBM and Transformer architectures) for synthetic data generation, with the objective of enhancing pricing accuracy, model robustness, and risk assessment within the proposed framework.
    Generative Machine Learning Pricing methodologies Energy Transition Derivatives Python
  • Liguria Region and University of Genoa
    Postdoctoral Research Fellow
    RESEARCH
    March 2024 - October 2024 (7 months)
    Genoa, Italy
    Postdoctoral Research position at the Department of Economics of the University of Genoa, funded by Liguria Region. The project involved conducting an economic analysis of the regional productive structure across various sectors, both from a historical and forward-looking perspective (e.g., using Relative Rotation Graphs and Shift-Share Analysis), based on the enhancement and utilization of data from the Territorial Public Accounts and ISTAT databases.
    Economic analysis R Software Relative Rotation Graph Shift-Share Analysis Data management
  • Società Italiana Assicurazioni e Riassicurazioni S.p.A. (SIAT)
    Junior Reinsurance Analyst
    BANKING AND INSURANCE
    November 2021 - June 2022 (7 months)
    Genoa, Italy
    Duties description:
    • implementation of the reinsurance strategy
    • preparation of reports and statistics, data entry
    • documentation and data maintenance
    Data management Statistical analysis Data Cleaning and Preprocessing Reporting Market analysis

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Education

  • Ph.D.
    University of Genoa
    2023
    Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.) in Economics and Political Economy Research strands: modeling and forecasting Energy and Bond markets Thesis “Some Essays on models in the Bond and Energy Markets” - Supervisor Prof. Marina Resta (Url:

Skill set

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